{"id":23708,"date":"2023-10-02T09:22:08","date_gmt":"2023-10-02T09:22:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microloannexus.com\/investing\/bank-of-america-sees-sp-500-falling-below-4200-before-a-year-end-rally\/"},"modified":"2023-10-02T09:22:09","modified_gmt":"2023-10-02T09:22:09","slug":"bank-of-america-sees-sp-500-falling-below-4200-before-a-year-end-rally","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microloannexus.com\/?p=23708","title":{"rendered":"Bank of America sees S&#038;P 500 falling below 4200 before a year-end rally"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div id=\"imgCarousel\" class=\"imgCarousel\">\n<p><span class=\"text\">\u00a9 Reuters. Bank of America sees S&amp;P 500 falling below 4200 before a year-end rally<\/span><br \/>\n<i class=\"imgGrad\"><\/i>\n<\/div>\n<p>The  ended the last week lower, therefore recording the fourth consecutive red candle on a weekly basis.<\/p>\n<p>Analysts see more downside room for the index as we enter the final quarter of the year, however, many of them also advocate for a year-end rally in the S&amp;P 500.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe breakdown below 4335-4325 is bearish entering October and suggests risk on the SPX to the 4200 area (rising 200-day MA, June breakout point and 50% retracement), which means that we favor an undercut of last week\u2019s low at 4238,\u201d Bank of America analysts wrote in a client note.<\/p>\n<p>They also flagged 4375-4402 as the next resistance zone for the S&amp;P 500, while the next major support level is 4114.<\/p>\n<p>Here is why the analysts see the S&amp;P 500 as well-positioned to deliver a year-end rally.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWe think 2023 is like other bullish turns in 2020 (COVID-19), 2019 (China trade war), 2016 (Brexit and Trump elected) and 2012 (Eurozone crisis). Corrections from summer peaks into November 2012, November 2016 and October 2019 tested\/undercut the rising 40-week MA and preceded yearend rallies in those years. The late 2023 setup resembles those from late 2012, late 2016 and late 2019. This suggests that a test or undercut of the 40-week MA could precede a yearend rally,\u201d they added.<\/p>\n<p>For the year-end rally to happen, the analysts would first like to see a capitulation event.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cGiven October\u2019s reputation for big intra-month drawdowns, we believe that an oversold capitulation event on a move below 1.0 for the VIX3M\/VIX is more likely in October. This is likely a key ingredient ahead of a yearend rally for the SPX.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Read the full article <a href=\"https:\/\/www.investing.com\/news\/stock-market-news\/bank-of-america-sees-sp-500-falling-below-4200-before-a-yearend-rally-432SI-3187771\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u00a9 Reuters. Bank of America sees S&amp;P 500 falling below 4200 before a year-end rally The ended the last week lower, therefore recording the fourth consecutive red candle on a weekly basis. Analysts see more downside room for the index as we enter the final quarter of the year, however, many of them also advocate<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":23709,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[49],"tags":[32],"class_list":{"0":"post-23708","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-investing","8":"tag-featured"},"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v20.12 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Bank of America sees S&amp;P 500 falling below 4200 before a year-end rally | Micro Loan Nexus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"\u00a9 Reuters. 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