{"id":22097,"date":"2023-09-25T19:02:05","date_gmt":"2023-09-25T19:02:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/microloannexus.com\/investing\/buy-the-dip-october-is-usually-good-to-investors\/"},"modified":"2023-09-25T19:02:06","modified_gmt":"2023-09-25T19:02:06","slug":"buy-the-dip-october-is-usually-good-to-investors","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/microloannexus.com\/?p=22097","title":{"rendered":"Buy The Dip – October Is Usually Good To Investors!"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Stock Market Seasonality Provides Reliable Clues for the Rest of 2023<\/p>\n

The last 21 months has been a financial \u201croller coaster\u201d! Many of the broader stock market benchmarks finished September with mediocre results for 2023 and nowhere near their all-time highs set in 2021.<\/p>\n

Beleaguered investors are looking for time-tested guidance, especially as we face the infamous month of October with its history of bear market declines in 1929, 1987 & 2008.<\/p>\n

History supports the fact that the Fall & Winter months usually produce powerful rallies. In fact, the financial media has lots of colorful phrases to describe stock market seasonality, but one that seems to come true is, \u201cThe Santa Claus Rally\u201d as the holiday season typically posts strong results.<\/p>\n

What is the Stock Market Seasonality?<\/em><\/p>\n

This well-known technical analysis is commonly defined as the stock market\u2019s typical price movement through different periods of time not particularly tied to a calendar year or economic conditions. It\u2019s largely based on the theory that current stock market momentum feeds trends in the future!<\/p>\n

For decades, market forecasters have observed that during the eight months of October through the following May, the stock market posts significant rallies while the \u201cdog days\u201d of Summer (June to September) are volatile and trendless!<\/p>\n

<\/fbs-ad><\/p>\n

Reliable & consistent \u2013 Yes!<\/em><\/p>\n

Market analysis should be tested over a long period of time, in different economic conditions, and using various benchmarks (See Table).<\/p>\n

Since the inflationary 1970s, the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrials and NASDAQ Composite have posted median and average results exceeding<\/em> 1% per month<\/em> from October to the following May!<\/p>\n

In stark contrast, the Summer months posted pitiful results averaging 0.1% with September as the worst performing month averaging -1% for all three indices. Simply put, the old saying, \u201cSell in May and go Away\u201d holds true!<\/p>\n

While these results are reliable, October can be extremely volatile in both directions. It has the distinction of being the only month in which all indexes lost at least 17% (1987 & 2008). It also saw the highest percentage gain of any month of the year for the S&P 500 and DJIA (16% in 1974 & 14% in 2022)!<\/p>\n

I have been a portfolio manager for over 30 years and have successfully integrated stock market seasonality into investment analysis. In fact, I typically increase cash and\/or hedge stock portfolios in May and rarely have cash sitting on the sidelines after Halloween.<\/p>\n

Although market seasonality should be observed by investors, there is no \u201cmagic\u201d stock market indicator, and veteran market forecasters use a variety of statistics in trying to \u201cpeak around the corner\u201d in search of the next bull or bear market.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

Read the full article here<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Stock Market Seasonality Provides Reliable Clues for the Rest of 2023 The last 21 months has been a financial \u201croller coaster\u201d! Many of the broader stock market benchmarks finished September with mediocre results for 2023 and nowhere near their all-time highs set in 2021. Beleaguered investors are looking for time-tested guidance, especially as we face<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":22098,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[49],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-22097","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-investing"},"yoast_head":"\nBuy The Dip - October Is Usually Good To Investors! | Micro Loan Nexus<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Stock Market Seasonality Provides Reliable Clues for the Rest of 2023 The last 21 months has been a financial \u201croller coaster\u201d! 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